Peter K.,
No “what if” possible with Stalin and “the revolution” since “what was” was psycho and insane. Stalin and his rapist, pervert, criminal, etc. henchmen as they disgustingly and really were.
The point wasn’t that Stalin might have been less murderous or that Latvia could have dodged Soviet occupation. It was that Stalin did choose those he favored, and as it happened he eliminated the old Latvian Bolsheviks more thoroughly than most other groups.
So there is a legitimate what-if: what if Stalin had decided that the Latvians as a group could be cowed into trustworthy behavior? After all, the Latvian Chekist Berzins directed the Kolyma forced-labor camp complex as it was built out in the 1930s. And it was Lacis who formulated the doctrine of ‘justice’ (i.e. murder) based on class affiliation and not the facts of individual cases. So what if Stalin had kept the Latvians on as henchmen and functionaries, and the ultimate Soviet occupation had had Vacietis, Alksnis, Eidemanis, Rudzutaks, etc. leading the parade and not the motley puppet band of Kirchensteins et al under Vyshinsky’s direction?
Likewise with the second what-if. This isn’t a dream of a socialist wonderland. What would the Latvians have done if their independence had been destroyed by Hitler’s Germany instead of by Stalin? The Nazis’ stance toward Latvia was informed by the embittered, dispossessed Baltic Germans who had seen waves of anti-German violence in 1905 and 1917-9, and then their complete removal (and characterization as ethnic undesireables by the official press) in 1939-40. There would absolutely have been a Nazi Baigais Gads, and what mental world would the Latvians be inhabiting then?
No “what if” possible? Speak for yourself.
